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April 03, 2006 -- 5:36 PM
posted by Par
Some of you may know the Monty Hall/Let's Make a Deal probability problem (it was mentioned in The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time). If not, here's the story:
You are presented with three identical doors. Behind one of them is a car and behind the other two are goats. You want the car. Monty Hall tells you to choose one of the doors. Regardless of which door you choose, at least one of the two remaining doors will have a goat behind it. Monty Hall, who knows where the car is, then opens one of the doors that has a goat behind it. He then gives you the option of either sticking with the first door you chose, or switching your choice to the other unopened door.There are two common answers to the question, but the one that most people try is demonstrably wrong. I just had no idea how much the common person's insistence on their answer annoyed mathematicians. (I won't write the answer here; just click on the link to get the explanation.) It's an interesting problem, though. The mathematician in question tries to clarify the question by proposing it this way:
Question: What should you do? Should you stay where you are? Switch? Does it make a difference?
Suppose you had 100 doors. The doors conceal one car and 99 goats. You choose door number one. Monty Hall then opens 98 goat-bearing doors.
I'm curious, though. If you were really insistent, I'm not sure that the rephrasing would help at all. Perhaps someone could prove me wrong...
April 03, 2006 -- 2:23 PM
posted by nobody knows my face
ah yes, the infamous yellow river.
PS: what's my online banking password? I forget.
April 02, 2006 -- 10:27 PM
posted by eric
yet another adolescent summer:
new .moneen.
If Tragedy's Appeal.....(myspace download) |
Don't Ever tell Locke what he can't do (link to stream)
and i'm coming around to the new Thursday too
April 02, 2006 -- 7:49 PM
posted by eric
for those of you who don't have myspace, a bulletin from Matt Lissass
I'm doing a funny ha-ha set on wednesday the 5th at the Comic Strip in West Ed. If you're interested, let me know, I'll get you some comp. tix. It promises to be the best show ever held on that day in this town.
Matt
April 02, 2006 -- 12:04 PM
posted by alison
haha, on another note, apparently Shuyler Jansen's hobotron is "unclassifiable" according to the iTunes musical genre classification system... haven't had that one yet. I wonder what else will come up like that...
April 02, 2006 -- 12:00 PM
posted by alison
holy crap, I wish I'd found out about this earlier... when I might've had the opportunity to go...
Has anyone else ever heard of the Wakarusa music and camping festival? It's in Kansas, and despite that (haha) the lineup looks fabulous... if only... damn field season. we'll see what happens next year. perhaps I can make plans aroud that... hmm. And four day passes are $99 us for early bird... how awesome is that? though 'upgraded camping passes' are more (so that you don't camp in the parking lot) still, friggin' awesome! plus the non-musical activities include disc golf. ... so anyone think it might be fun to go next year?
I mean, the New Belgium brewery (source of the "Jeremy" bike riding videos) is sponsoring it, how cool is that? suddenly I'm sucked back to my summer in Yellowstone...
hee hee, and on that note, here's another one. "Jeremy" riding his bike at night...
Though, I think I can be pacified, the Edmonton Folk Fest is hosting ... Bruce Cockburn and Feist!! though... hmm... Calgary's Fest is bringing Son Volt, Dar Williams and Ani DiFranco
April 02, 2006 -- 5:29 AM
posted by Par
Some thoughts:
April 01, 2006 -- 8:34 PM
posted by alison
meh, You know, Eric, it was a welcome break from sitting around wondering what to do. I would not have had a happy evening if I'd stayed at home, and nothing changed in the time I was away (I still got home before my folks)... so yeah, all in all I had a good time, don't worry about it. Oh, and giving my Dad the choice of what kind of cake/pie to bake was good... he seemed pleased to have that option. (I baked him a flapper (custard) pie today and he seemed to be in 7th heaven). so all in all, things worked out.
though, I guess, my Grandma's driving the hospital staff crazy... constantly hitting her nurse call button even though nothing is wrong, panicking at the slightest thing... and she's developed a rather big liking to her pain killers. she panics, she treats people like shit, demands people do things like fluff her pillows as though her existence would be terminated without that aid... I just don't know any more. She doesn't care what anyone is up to, we can't distract her, stories don't cut it and she sure doesn't do anything of her own any more (no books, no nothing). What do you do with a woman who only thinks of death? - to the exclusion of everything else.
So, uh, yeah, what can I say? In summation, things are a little tenuous at the moment, but distraction is always good... and it was really great to see you guys play, and see Our Mercury too. I haven't been to a punk show... ever, perhaps... haha, that's not true, but it almost felt like that last night. I'm glad I got to go.
